Whether Tesla can actually achieve those goals is something of an open question in the options market, where some conflicting activity is painting a cloudy picture of investor sentiment ahead of Wednesday’s report.
″[The options market] is implying about an 8% move, which is about typical,” Realm Capital founder Roger DaSilva said Tuesday on “Fast Money.” “I’d say it’s smack in the range of 8%-10% where [Tesla] typically moves. However, last quarter, it dropped about 15%, so I think people are gearing up for that, as well.”
While eye-catching, that 15% move to the downside is just under twice the average post-earnings move for Tesla, which comes in around 9% in either direction.
However, at least one trader is looking to take advantage of what could turn out to be cheap options prices to place a big bet on a Tesla beat.
In this bet, the November 230-strike calls rolled up to the November 280s, DaSilva said, “locking in some profits, but positioning for some more upside.”
Despite slightly depressed options prices, these contracts still aren’t particularly cheap. This trader laid out more than $4 million in premium to place this bet, buying 6,000 contracts at $6.70 per contract.